Global renewable power trend benefits PVS. The International Energy Agency projects the total installed capacity of global renewable energy to increase at a 13% CAGR in 2020-2030F. China/India/Taiwan target to double/triple/quadruple their renewable power capacities by 2030. Taiwan has positioned itself as the offshore wind power pioneer in Asia and targets its offshore wind power capacity to increase ~9x to 14 GW in 2022-2030. Many governments and international organizations have also allocated budgets to finance renewable power projects. Tariffs for renewable power in Taiwan (which are 2x Vietnam’s tariffs) are the most favorable, implying a high probability of this country meeting its offshore wind power target. As there are only a few mechanical & construction (M&C) contractors in the offshore wind power industry in Asia-Pacific, we believe PVS — which has signed contracts for projects with Orsted in Taiwan — will have a significant market share in the region’s offshore wind power M&C segment. We raise our target price for PVS by 8% to VND33,000/share (projected TSR of 30.6%) and reiterate our BUY rating.
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