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VJC - Middle East disruptions, elevated fuel costs weigh on Q2 core earnings; SALB & ROFR lift reported revenue - Earnings Flash

Company Research

31 Jul 2026

* VJC reported Q2 2026 revenue of VND30.5tn (+71% YoY; +45% QoQ), while NPAT-MI declined to VND334bn (-49% YoY; -67% QoQ). This brought H1 2026 revenue to VND51.5tn (+44% YoY; 44% of our 2026F forecast) and NPAT-MI to VND1.35tn (+4% YoY; 27% of our 2026F forecast). We are reviewing our forecasts for VJC, pending a fuller assessment.

* Reported Q2 revenue growth was mainly driven by SALB & ROFR transactions, which came in at VND12.2tn, equivalent to 28.3x Q2 2025 and 9.2x Q1 2026 levels.

* Q2 transportation revenue was VND17.3tn (+6% YoY; -8% QoQ). International passenger revenue increased to VND4.3tn (+41% YoY; -32% QoQ), serving as the main passenger-revenue growth driver, while domestic passenger revenue remained broadly stable at VND4.9tn (+1% YoY; +11% QoQ). Meanwhile, ancillary revenue declined to VND5.4tn (-22% YoY; -14% QoQ). The elevated jet-fuel prices amid Middle East tensions have added pressure through regional airspace disruptions, rerouting requirements and thus, higher operating costs.

* VJC carried more than 6.2mn passengers on nearly 33,000 flights in Q2 2026. In H1 2026, the airline transported more than 13.4mn passengers on nearly 72,000 flights.

* In H1 2026, financial income was VND1.5tn (+17% YoY; 187% of our full-year forecast), while financial expenses declined to VND2.5tn (-4% YoY; 133% of our full-year forecast).

* H1 2026 operating cash flow increased to VND993bn from VND470bn in H1 2025. The improvement was mainly supported by favorable movements in payables and working-capital items, which more than offset cash outflows from higher receivables, inventory accumulation, and prepaid expenses.

 

VJC’s Q2 & H1 2026 results

VND bn

Q2 2025

Q1 2026

Q2 2026

QoQ

YoY

H1 2025

H1 2026

YoY

H1 2026/2026F

Revenue

17,885

21,037

30,499

45%

71%

35,837

51,536

44%

44%

- Transportation

16,319

18,808

17,266

-8%

6%

33,727

36,074

7%

N.A.

+ International

3,052

6,306

4,300

-32%

41%

8,157

10,606

30%

N.A.

+ Domestic

4,914

4,440

4,945

11%

1%

9,464

9,385

-1%

N.A.

+ Ancillary

6,893

6,205

5,357

-14%

-22%

13,116

11,562

-12%

N.A.

+ Charter flights

1,459

1,857

2,663

43%

83%

2,989

4,520

51%

N.A.

- SALB & ROFR

429

1,323

12,157

819%

2734%

429

13,480

3042%

N.A.

Gross Profit

2,417

2,830

1,702

-40%

-30%

4,821

4,532

-6%

39%

Operating Profit

1,333

1,749

799

-54%

-40%

2,895

2,548

-12%

37%

Financial income

896

376

1,141

203%

27%

1,302

1,517

17%

187%

Financial expenses

-1,474

-983

-1,521

55%

3%

-2,617

-2,504

-4%

133%

Net other income

60

0

1

N.M.

-97%

71

2

-7%

N.M.

PBT

815

1,142

420

-63%

-48%

1,651

1,562

-5%

27%

NPAT-MI

652

1,013

334

-67%

-49%

1,293

1,347

4%

27%

Margins

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

GPM

13.5%

13.5%

5.6%

 

 

13.5%

8.8%

 

 

OPM

7.5%

8.3%

2.6%

 

 

8.1%

4.9%

 

 

NPM

3.6%

4.8%

1.1%

 

 

3.6%

2.6%

 

 

Source: VJC, Vietcap

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