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NLG - Slower-than-expected Q2 presales, earnings prompt forecast review - Earnings Flash

Company Research

30 Jul 2026

  • In Q2 2026, NLG reported underlying property revenue (including joint-venture/JV projects Mizuki Park and Izumi City) of VND417bn (USD16mn; -47% on both QoQ and YoY) and NPAT-MI of VND55bn (USD2.1mn; -19% QoQ, -44% YoY), primarily due to lower property handovers.
  • For H1 2026, underlying property revenue was VND1.2tn (USD46mn; -41% YoY) and NPAT-MI was VND123bn (USD4.7mn; -41% YoY), with the key deliveries including Southgate and Can Tho. 
  • NLG’s H1 2026 presales increased 52% YoY to VND5.1tn (USD193mn), supported by Sol Garden (25% of total), Mizuki Park (20%), Izumi City (18%), and Southgate (14%). 
  • With H1 2026 NPAT-MI and presales reaching only 17% and 35% of our respective full-year forecasts, we see downside risks to our 2026F NPAT-MI forecast (VND710bn/USD27mn; +1% YoY) and presales forecast (VND14.4tn/USD546mn; +21% YoY), pending a fuller review.
  • At end-Q2 2026, NLG remained in a net cash position, with net D/E of -6.5% vs -11.8% at end-Q1 2026 and -17.8% at end-2025.
  • CEO transition: On July 28, NLG announced that Mr. Lucas Ignatius Loh Jen Yuh will resign as CEO, while Ms. Nguyen Thanh Huong – current CIO – was appointed acting CEO. We do not expect the leadership transition to affect the company's strategy or business performance in the medium term.

 

Figure 1: NLG’s property presales

VND bn

Q1
  2024

Q2
  2024

Q3
  2024

Q4
  2024

Q1
 
 2025

Q2
  2025

Q3
  2025

Q4
 2025

Q1
 2026

Q2
 2026

FY
 2025

H1
 2025 

H1
 2026 

Akari City

540

570

510

240

30

160

55

80

-

50

325

190

50

Southgate

280

670

160

350

220

1,980

930

1,680

360

350

4,810

2,190

720

Mizuki Park

250

220

50

130

20

120

80

890

620

400

1,110

140

1,030

Can Tho

100

50

130

830

230

370

440

615

100

450

1,655

600

540

Izumi City

-

-

-

130*

50*

160*

65*

1,790

610

310

2,060

210

910

An Zen Residences

-

-

-

-

-

-

100

760

20

20

860

 

40

Elyse Island 

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

1,040

360

180

1,040

 

540

Sol Garden 

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

1,250

-

 

1,250

Total

1,170

1,510

850

1,680

550

2,790

1,670

6,850

2,070

3,010

11,850
 (2.3x YoY
)

3,330

5,080
(+52% YoY)

Source: NLG, Vietcap compilation (Presales rounded to nearest ten). Note: (*) Presold units at Izumi City P1, which were refunded by previous customers from the first launch in 2021.

Figure 2: NLG’s Q2 and H1 2026 results

VND bn

Q2
 
2025

Q2
 
2026

YoY

H1
 2025

H1
 2026

YoY

2026F

Has %
 of 202
6F

Net revenue

773

415

-46%

2,064

1,695

-18%

5,417

31%

  • Property sales

696

287

-59%

1,906

1,511

-21%

5,074

30%

  • Services and leasing

77

129

67%

158

184

16%

343

54%

Gross profit

332

237

-29%

745

618

-17%

2,280

27%

  • Property sales

320

221

-31%

722

596

-17%

2,228

27%

  • Services and leasing

12

15

26%

22

21

-5%

52

41%


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SG&A expenses

-206

-195

-6%

-444

-383

-14%

-1,126

34%

EBIT

125

42

-67%

300

235

-22%

1,154

20%

Financial income

43

91

110%

92

159

73%

239

67%

Financial expenses

-48

-69

42%

-148

-160

8%

-391

41%

Profit from associates

20

24

18%

28

31

9%

400

8%

Other gain/loss

8

7

-21%

19

7

-61%

30

25%

PBT

149

94

-37%

291

271

-7%

1,431

19%

Effective tax expenses

-52

-28

-45%

-84

-96

14%

-206

46%

NPAT

98

66

-32%

207

176

-15%

1,225

14%

Minority interest

2

-11

N.M.

0

-52

N.M.

-515

N.M.

NPAT-MI

99

55

-44%

208

123

-41%

710

17%


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross margin

42.9%

57.0%

 

36.1%

36.5%

 

42.1%

 

  • Property sales

45.9%

77.3%


37.9%

39.5%


43.9%

 

  • Services and leasing

15.8%

12.0%


14.1%

11.6%


15.0%

 

SG&A as % of revenue

26.7%

46.9%

 

21.5%

22.6%

 

20.8%

 

EBIT margin

16.2%

10.1%

 

14.5%

13.8%

 

21.3%

 

NPAT-MI margin

12.9%

13.3%

 

10.1%

7.3%

 

13.1%

 

Source: NLG, Vietcap forecasts (Last updated May 11, 2026)

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